Preview GBP Prelim Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)

Tomorrow, Wednesday, the 25th of  2012, the GBP-Prelim Gross Domestic Product Q/Q will be released at 4:30 AM ET

This is my 2nd BLOG post of this report – the forecast is not good for the U.K.

Want more options?? – Find out about FOREX News trading!

There is a series of e-books in the Kindle Book store on Amazon which deal with FOREX trading the economic news reports;

Currently these titles are available:

Trade New Zealand Retail Sales Report – M over M – News Report”  NEW
Trade US Core Durable Goods Orders – News Report
Trade Australian Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade the British Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade Canadian IVEY Purchasing Mangers Index – M over M – News Report

Click here FOREX Trade the News… What are the Odds?

Tomorrow, Wednesday, 01-25-12 at 4:30 AM ET, the GBP Prelim Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) report will be released.

The last time this report was released was on Wednesday, 07-27-11 at 4:30 AM ET, click here to see what happened .

This report is released by the U.K.s National Statistics on a Quarterly basis.

3 other reports are being released as well:

GBP Index of Services 3m/3m    
released on a monthly basis by the  National Statistics 

GBP BBA Mortgage Approvals 
Released monthly by the British Bankers’ Association

GBP MPC Meeting Minutes
Released monthly by the Bank of England

No trade last time!

Here is what is happening this release:

GBP Prelim Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) stats:

previous = 0.6%

forecast = -0.1%  


Here is how I am set up for tomorrow:

GBP-4-30AM-01-25-12
Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
Looking for a 0.2% difference
GBP Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)
____actual_____forecast _____previous
______________ -0.1% ______ 0.6%
out at 0.1% or higher – BUY GBP/CAD
out at -0.3% or lower – SELL GBP/CAD
With 0.1 diff, I would trade against it.-

The forecast does not look good for the British economy.

I did post a “follow up” soon after this news report was over, click here to see what happened.

The next scheduled release of these reports is on Tuesday, 04-24-12 at 3:30 AM ET!

I will probably post a “preview” a day or two prior.

Stay tuned!

P.S. If you are interested in how I set up for a news trade – click on the “Training” link above for some videos.


P.P.S. If you are interested in the books I studied and recommend – click on the “FOREX Books” link above

Follow Up – USD Existing Home Sales report

This months Existing Home Sales report came out bad for the US economy – but not enough change for a trade of the US Dollar

Did not enter a trade this time

Want more options?? – Find out about FOREX News trading!

There is a series of e-books in the Kindle Book store on Amazon which deal with FOREX trading the economic news reports;

Currently these titles are available:

Trade New Zealand Retail Sales Report – M over M – News Report”  NEW
Trade US Core Durable Goods Orders – News Report
Trade Australian Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade the British Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade Canadian IVEY Purchasing Mangers Index – M over M – News Report

Click here FOREX Trade the News… What are the Odds?

On Friday, 01-20-12 at 10:00 AM ET, a USD report was released, it was the USD Existing Home Sales report, released monthly by the National Association of Realtors.

I did a “preview” post on Thursday, 01-19-12 for these reports, click here for a review.

Did not enter a trade this time!

Here are the stats for this month:

USD Existing Home Sales  stats:

Previous = 4.42 M—————revised = 4.39 M

Forecast = 4.65 M

Actual = 4.61 M


Here is how I was set up for these reports, and the results:

USD-10-00AM-ET-01-20-12
Looking for a 200K difference
Actual > Forecast = Good for USD
USD Existing Home Sales
——actual——–forecast———-previous
______________4.65M________4.42M
____4.61M ____4.65M________ 4.39M
Out at 4.85M or Higher – SELL EUR/USD
Out at 4.45M or Lower – BUY EUR/USD

Bad – “actual” came out lower then “forecast” by 40 K
Good – “actual” came out higher then “previous” by 190 K
Good – “actual” came out higher then revised “previous” by 220 K

Let’s take a look at the charts and see how things worked out:

(AUD/USD )

a one minute AUD/USD currency chart

a one minute AUD/USD chart

This AUD/USD currency pair ranged for 5 minutes
moved down for 2 minutes about 8 PIPS – wrong direction
Moved up for 16 minutes about 27 PIPS – right direction

(EUR/USD)

a one minute EUR/USD currency chart

a one minute EUR/USD chart

This EUR/USD currency pair moved up for 3 minutes about 5 PIPS – right direction
Moved down for 3 minutes about 16 PIPS – wrong direction
Moved up for 24 minutes about 37 PIPS – right direction

(GBP/USD)

a one minute GBP/USD currency chart

a one minute GBP/USD chart

This GBP/USD currency pair ranged for 12 minutes
Moved up for 27 minutes about 19 PIPS – right direction

(USD/CAD)

a one minute USD/CAD currency chart

a one minute USD/CAD chart

This USD/CAD currency pair moved up for 7 minutes about 13 PIPS – wrong direction
Moved down for 24 minutes about 17 PIPS - right direction

(USD/CHF )

a one minute USD/CHF currency chart

a one minute USD/CHF chart

This USD/CHF currency pair ranged for 4 minutes
Moved up for 2 minutes about 9 PIPS – wrong direction
Moved down for 24 minutes about 25 PIPS – right direction

(NZD/USD)

a one minute NZD/USD currency chart

a one minute NZD/USD chart

This NZD/USD currency pair ranged for 3 minutes
Moved down for 5 minutes about 11 PIPS – wrong direction
Moved up for 16 minutes about 16 PIPS – right direction

(USD/JPY )

a one minute USD/JPY currency chart

a one minute USD/JPY chart

This USD/JPY currency pair moved up for 2 minutes about 1 PIPS – wrong direction
Moved down for 22 minutes about 6 PIPS – right direction

The next scheduled release of this report will be Wednesday, 02-22-12 at 10:00 AM ET.

A month is a long time, re-scheduling can occur any time.

I will probably be writing a “preview” post for this up-coming report.

So, stay tuned!

P.S. If you are interested in how I set up for a news trade – click on the “Training” link above for some videos.



P.P.S. If you are interested in the books I studied and recommend – click on the “FOREX Books” link above.

Follow Up – AUD Employment Change and AUD Unemployment Rate reports

Here is a follow up report of the AUD – Employment Change and the AUD Unemployment Rate, released on Wednesday 01-18-12..  

I did not trade this time – there was conflict!

Want more options?? – Find out about FOREX News trading!

There is a series of e-books in the Kindle Book store on Amazon which deal with FOREX trading the economic news reports;

Currently these titles are available:

Trade New Zealand Retail Sales Report – M over M – News Report”  NEW
Trade US Core Durable Goods Orders – News Report
Trade Australian Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade the British Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade Canadian IVEY Purchasing Mangers Index – M over M – News Report

Click here FOREX Trade the News… What are the Odds?

On Wednesday, 01-18-12 at 7:30 PM ET, the Australian Bureau of Statistics  released the monthly AUD Employment Change and AUD Unemployment Rate reports

I posted a “preview” of these reports on Tuesday, 01-17-12, click here to review.

I did not trade this time – there was conflict!

Here is how the reports for this month were set up and what happened:

AUD Employment Change – Stats

Previous = -6.3.K—————-revised = -7.5K

Forecast = 10.3K —————-revised = 10.2K

Actual = -29.3K

AUD Unemployment Rate – Stats

Previous = 5.3%

Forecast = 5.3%

Actual = 5.2%


Here is what happened then:

AUD-7-30PM-ET-01-18-12
Looking for a 20K difference
Actual > Forecast = Good for AUD
AUD Employment Change
——actual———-forecast——-previous
_______________10.3K______-6.3K
____-29.3K_____ 10.2K _____-7.5K
out at 30.3K or higher – SELL GBP/AUD
out at -9.7K or lower – BUY GBP/AUD

Bad – “actual” came out lower than “forecast” by 39.6K
Bad – “actual” came out lower than revised “forecast” by 39.5K
Bad – “actual” came out lower than “previous” by 35.3K
Bad – “actual” came out lower than revised “previous” by 36.8K

Actual < Forecast = Good for AUD
AUD Unemployment Rate
————————5.3%———— 5.3%
_____5.2%______ 5.3%________ 5.2%

Good – “actual” came out lower than “forecast” by 0.1K
Good – “actual” came out lower than “previous” by 0.1K
Neutral – “actual” came out same as revised “previous”

Here are the charts:

(AUD/CHF)

a one minute AUD/CHF currency chart

a one minute AUD/CHF chart

This currency pair AUD/CHF spiked down/up 1st minute about 43 PIPS/ 21 PIPS -
Ranged

(AUD/JPY)

a one minute AUD/JPY currency chart

a one minute AUD/JPY chart

This currency pair AUD/JPY spiked down/up 1st minute about 35 PIPS/ 12 PIPS -
Moved up next 4 minutes about 10 PIPS – wrong direction
Moved down next 9 minutes about 14 PIPS – right direction

(AUD/NZD)

a one minute AUD/NZD currency chart

a one minute AUD/NZD chart

This currency pair AUD/NZD spiked down/up 1st minute about 45 PIPS/ 15 PIPS -
Moved up next 2 minutes about 14 PIPS – wrong direction
Moved down next 8 minutes about 12 PIPS – right direction

(AUD/USD)

a one minute AUD/USD currency chart

a one minute AUD/USD chart

This currency pair AUD/USD spiked down/up 1st minute about 52 PIPS/ 24 PIPS -
Moved up next 4 minutes about 10 PIPS – wrong direction
Moved down next 9 minutes about 21 PIPS – right direction

(EUR/AUD)

a one minute EUR/AUD currency chart

a one minute EUR/AUD chart

This currency pair EUR/AUD spiked up/down 1st minute about 45 PIPS/ 16 PIPS -
Moved down next 2 minutes about 14 PIPS – wrong direction
Ranged

(GBP/AUD)

a one minute GBP/AUD currency chart

a one minute GBP/AUD chart

This currency pair GBP/AUD spiked up/down 1st minute about 65 PIPS/ 28 PIPS -
Moved down next 2 minutes about 8 PIPS – wrong direction
Moved up next 11 minutes about 19 PIPS – right direction

The next scheduled release of these two reports on Wednesday, 02-15-12 at 7:30 PM ET.

I will probably post a “preview“ a day or two prior.

Stay tuned!

P.S. If you are interested in how I set up for a news trade – click on the “Training” link above for some videos.


P.P.S. If you are interested in the books I studied and recommend – click on the “FOREX Books” link above.

Follow Up – EUR German ZEW Survey Economic Sentiment report

Here is a follow up report of the European German Survey Economic Sentiment released on Tuesday the 17th of January, 2012. I did not execute a FOREX trade this time.

Want more options?? – Find out about FOREX News trading!

There is a series of e-books in the Kindle Book store on Amazon which deal with FOREX trading the economic news reports;

Currently these titles are available:

Trade New Zealand Retail Sales Report – M over M – News Report”  NEW
Trade US Core Durable Goods Orders – News Report
Trade Australian Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade the British Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade Canadian IVEY Purchasing Mangers Index – M over M – News Report

Click here FOREX Trade the News… What are the Odds?

On Tuesday, 01-17-12 at 5:00 AM ET, the EUR German ZEW Survey  Economic Sentiment and EUR – EURO-Zone ZEW Survey Economic Sentiment reports were released.

The EUR Economic Sentiment reports are released monthly by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW)

Along with 3 other news reports:

EUR CPI y/y                          
EUR Core CPI y/y  
Released monthly by Eurostat

EUR CB Leading Index m/m  
Released monthly by The Conference Board Inc.

I did not enter a trade this time – EUR/USD!!! – Good trigger!

I did a “preview” post of this months report, click here for a review.

The EUR – German ZEW Survey Economic Sentiment appears to have the greatest impact on the market.

Here is the set up:

EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment  Stats:

previous = -53.8

forecast = -49.7

actual = -21.6


Here is how I was set up and what happened:

EUR-5-00AM-ET-12-13-11
Looking for a 10.0 difference
Actual > Forecast = Good for EUR
EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment
——actual———-forecast———-previous
_____-21.6_______-49.7________-53.8
Out at -39.7 more BUY EUR/USD
Out at -59.7 less SELL EUR/USD

Good – “actual” came out higher than “forecast” by 28.1
Good – “actual” came out higher than “previous” by 32.2

Here are the charts:

(EUR/AUD)

a one minute EUR/AUD currency chart

a one minute EUR/AUD chart

This EUR/AUD currency pair moved up for 54 minutes about 30 PIPS – right direction

(EUR/CAD)

a one minute EUR/CAD currency chart

a one minute EUR/CAD chart

This EUR/CAD currency pair moved up for 32 minutes about 32 PIPS – right direction

(EUR/CHF)

a one minute EUR/CHF currency chart

a one minute EUR/CHF chart

This EUR/CHF currency pair moved up for 3 minutes about 6 PIPS – right direction
Ranged

(EUR/GBP)

a one minute EUR/GBP currency chart

a one minute EUR/GBP chart

This EUR/GBP currency pair moved up for 9 minutes about 13 PIPS - right direction

(EUR/JPY)

a one minute EUR/JPY currency chart

a one minute EUR/JPY chart

This EUR/JPY currency pair ranged for 23 minutes

(EUR/NZD)

a one minute EUR/NZD currency chart

a one minute EUR/NZD chart

This EUR/NZD currency pair moved up for 9 minutes about 29 PIPS – right direction
Moved down for 21 minutes about 20 PIPS – wrong direction

(EUR/USD)

a one minute EUR/USD currency chart

a one minute EUR/USD chart

This EUR/USD currency pair moved up for 2 minutes about 25 PIPS – right direction
Ranged

The next reports are scheduled for Tuesday, 02-14-12 at 5:00 AM ET, I have noticed lately that schedules are sometimes changed during the time periods between scheduled reports.

I will probably post a “preview” a day or two prior.

Stay tuned!

P.S. If you are interested in how I set up for a news trade – click on the “Training” link above for several videos.


P.P.S. If you are interested in the books I studied and recommend – click on the “FOREX Books” link above.

Follow Up GBP – Consumer Price Index YoY report

This months UK news reports, CPI and Core Cpi came out, but not in the same direction, there was not enough difference for a predicable market move

Did not enter a trade this time

Want more options?? – Find out about FOREX News trading!

There is a series of e-books in the Kindle Book store on Amazon which deal with FOREX trading the economic news reports;

Currently these titles are available:

Trade New Zealand Retail Sales Report – M over M – News Report”  NEW
Trade US Core Durable Goods Orders – News Report
Trade Australian Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade the British Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade Canadian IVEY Purchasing Mangers Index – M over M – News Report

Click here FOREX Trade the News… What are the Odds?

On Tuesday 01-17-12 at 4:30 AM ET, the GBP Consumer Price Index YoY report was released.

Also 3 other reports:

GBP Core Consumer Price Index YoY
GBP Retail Price Index YoY
GBP DCLG HPI YoY

I did post a “preview” of this months report, click here to see what happened.

The GBP DCLG HPI YoY is released monthly by Communities and Local Government

The CPI, and RPI are released by the U.K.s National Statistics on a monthly basis.

Did not enter a trade this time!

For an idea how this report worked out, here is what happened:

GBP Consumer Price Index YoY  stats:

previous = 4.8%

forecast = 4.2%

Actual = 4.2%


Here is how I was set up:

GBP 4-30AM-ET-01-17-12
Looking for a 0.2% difference
Actual > Forecast = Good for GBP
GBP Consumer Price Index YoY
——actual——–forecast——–previous
_____4.2%______4.2%_______4.8%
Out at 4.4 % or higher – BUY GBP/USD
Out at 4.0 % or lower – SELL GBP/USD

Neutral  – “actual” came out same as “forecast”
Bad  – “actual” came out lower than “previous” by 0.6%

Here are the charts:

(EUR/GBP)

a one minute EUR/GBP currency chart

a one minute EUR/GBP currency chart

This EUR/GBP currency pair moved down 4 minutes about 9 PIPS
Moved up next 19 minutes about 10 PIPS

(GBP/AUD)

a one minute GBP/AUD currency chart

a one minute GBP/AUD currency chart

This GBP/AUD currency pair moved up 4 minutes about 16 PIPS
Moved down next 12 minutes about 21 PIPS

(GBP/CAD)

a one minute GBP/CAD currency chart

a one minute GBP/CAD currency chart

This GBP/CAD currency pair moved up 4 minutes about 15 PIPS
Moved down next 16 minutes about 12 PIPS

(GBP/CHF)

a one minute GBP/CHF currency chart

a one minute GBP/CHF currency chart

This GBP/CHF currency pair moved up 8 minutes about 16 PIPS
Moved down next 15 minutes about 19 PIPS

(GBP/JPY)

a one minute GBP/JPY currency chart

a one minute GBP/JPY currency chart

This GBP/JPY currency pair moved up 4 minutes about 12 PIPS
Moved down next 14 minutes about 10 PIPS

(GBP/NZD)

a one minute GBP/NZD currency chart

a one minute GBP/NZD currency chart

This GBP/NZD currency pair moved up 6 minutes about 32 PIPS
Ranged

(GBP/USD)

a one minute GBP/USD currency chart

a one minute GBP/USD currency chart

This GBP/USD currency pair moved up 4 minutes about 15 PIPS
Moved down next 7 minutes about 12 PIPS

The next scheduled release of these reports is on Tuesday, 02-14-12 at 5:30 AM ET.

I will probably post a “preview” a day or two prior.

Stay tuned!


P.S. If you are interested in how I set up for a news trade – click on the “Training” link above for some videos.


P.P.S. If you are interested in the books I studied and recommend – click on the “FOREX Books” link above.

Preview – USD Existing Home Sales report

Tomorrow, the US Existing Home Sales report will be released – this is normally a very good news release for trading.

There was a good trigger last month, did not enter a trade

Want more options?? – Find out about FOREX News trading!

There is a series of e-books in the Kindle Book store on Amazon which deal with FOREX trading the economic news reports;

Currently these titles are available:

Trade New Zealand Retail Sales Report – M over M – News Report”  NEW
Trade US Core Durable Goods Orders – News Report
Trade Australian Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade the British Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade Canadian IVEY Purchasing Mangers Index – M over M – News Report

Click here FOREX Trade the News… What are the Odds?

Tomorrow, Friday, 01-20-12 at 10:00 AM ET one important USD report is to be released, this is the USD Existing Home Sales report, released monthly by the National Association of Realtors.

There was a good trigger last month, did not enter a trade

I did a “follow up” post on the December report, click here for a review.

Here are the stats for this month:

USD Existing Home Sales  stats:

Previous = 4.42 M

Forecast = 4.65 M

This “forecast” indicates that there will be a increase of home sales of about 23,000 homes over last months sales.


Here is how I am set up for tomorrow:

USD-10-00AM-ET-01-20-12
Looking for a 200K difference
Actual > Forecast = Good for USD
USD Existing Home Sales
——actual——–forecast———-previous
______________4.65M________4.42M
Out at 4.85M or Higher – SELL EUR/USD
Out at 4.45M or Lower – BUY EUR/USD

I think that a good difference between the “actual” and the “forecast” of say 200K or more could present a brief “scalp” opportunity with the currency pair EUR/USD currency pair.

I did post a “follow up” on the results of this report, click here to see what happened.

The next release of theses reports will be on Wednesday, 02-22-12 at 10:00 AM ET.

I will probably post a “preview” a day or two prior.

So, stay tuned!

P.S. If you are interested in how I set up for a news trade – click on the “Training” link above for some videos.


P.P.S. If you are interested in the books I studied and recommend – click on the “FOREX Books” link above.

Preview – AUD Employment Change and AUD Unemployment Rate reports

Australia will release their Employment change and the Unemployment Rate tomorrow evening – one of my favorite reports to trade.

Last month I did not enter a trade – there was a good trigger and no conflict.

The Employment Change “forecast“ shows the economy may be  improving for the AUD. The Unemployment Rate remains the same?

Want more options?? – Find out about FOREX News trading!

There is a series of e-books in the Kindle Book store on Amazon which deal with FOREX trading the economic news reports;

Currently these titles are available:

Trade New Zealand Retail Sales Report – M over M – News Report”  NEW
Trade US Core Durable Goods Orders – News Report
Trade Australian Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade the British Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade Canadian IVEY Purchasing Mangers Index – M over M – News Report

Click here FOREX Trade the News… What are the Odds?

On Wednesday, 01-18-12 at 7:30 PM ET, the Australian Bureau of Statistics  will release the monthly AUD Employment Change and AUD Unemployment Rate reports

I posted a “follow up” of last months reports on Tuesday, 12-13-11, click here to see what happened.

Last month I did not enter a trade – there was a good trigger and no conflict.

Here is how the reports for this month are set up:

AUD Employment Change – Stats

Previous = -6.3K

Forecast = 10.3K

AUD Unemployment Rate – Stats

Previous = 5.3%

Forecast = 5.3%

The Employment Change and Unemployment Rate “forecast“ shows the economy may be  improving for the AUD.


Here is how I am set up for tomorrow:

AUD-7-30PM-ET-01-18-12
Looking for a 20K difference
Actual > Forecast = Good for AUD
AUD Employment Change
——actual———-forecast——-previous
_______________10.3K______-6.3K
out at 30.3K or higher – SELL GBP/AUD
out at -9.7K or lower – BUY GBP/AUD

Actual < Forecast = Good for AUD
AUD Unemployment Rate
————————5.3%———— 5.3%

I would not trade these reports unless they both go in the same direction, that is, both are good for the economy or not good.

I did post a “follow up” of this report soon after, click here to see what happened.

The next scheduled release of these two reports on Wednesday, 02-15-12 at 7:30 PM ET.

I will probably post a “preview“ a day or two prior.

Stay tuned!

P.S. If you are interested in how I set up for a news trade – click on the “Training” link above for some videos.


P.P.S. If you are interested in the books I studied and recommend – click on the “FOREX Books” link above.

Preview – EUR German ZEW Survey Economic Sentiment report

Tomorrow, the ZEW – The Center for European Economic Research is releasing the German ZEW Economic Sentiment again, this report is fairly good for trading – that is, when it is a surprise to the market.

I did not enter a trade last month!

Want more options?? – Find out about FOREX News trading!

There is a series of e-books in the Kindle Book store on Amazon which deal with FOREX trading the economic news reports;

Currently these titles are available:

Trade New Zealand Retail Sales Report – M over M – News Report”  NEW
Trade US Core Durable Goods Orders – News Report
Trade Australian Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade the British Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade Canadian IVEY Purchasing Mangers Index – M over M – News Report

Click here FOREX Trade the News… What are the Odds?

Tomorrow, Tuesday. 01-17-12 at 5:00 AM ET, the EUR German ZEW Survey  Economic Sentiment report will be released.

The EUR Economic Sentiment reports are released monthly by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW)

Along with 3 other news reports:

EUR CPI y/y                          
EUR Core CPI y/y
Released monthly by Eurostat

EUR CB Leading Index m/m  
Released monthly by The Conference Board Inc.

I did not enter a trade last month!

I did a “follow up” of the December report, click here for a review.

The EUR – German ZEW Survey Economic Sentiment appears to have the greatest impact on the market.

Here is what is going on this month:

EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment  Stats:

previous = -53.8

forecast = -49.7


Here is how I am set up for tomorrow:

EUR-5-00AM-ET-01-17-12
Looking for a 10.0 difference
Actual > Forecast = Good for EUR
EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment
——actual———-forecast———-previous
________________-49.7________-53.8
Out at -39.7 more BUY EUR/USD
Out at -59.7 less SELL EUR/USD
EUR ZEW Economic Sentiment
_________________-48.7________-54.1

It appears that the economists believe the EUR German economy is in recovery and the EUR Zone for that matter.

I did post a “follow up” soon after this report was completed, click here to see what happened.

The next schedule release of this report is Tuesday, 02-14-12 at 5:00 AM ET.

I will probably post a “preview” a day or two prior.

Stay tuned!

P.S. If you are interested in how I set up for a news trade – click on the “Training” link above for some videos.


P.P.S. If you are interested in the books I studied and recommend – click on the “FOREX Books” link above

Preview GBP – Consumer Price Index YoY report

Again, the UK is releasing its Consumer Price Index YoY report tomorrow morning at 4:30 AM ET, this report is good for a trade if the “actual” comes out off “forecast” by 0.2% or more.

There was not a good difference between the “actual” and the “forecast” last month, and there was a possible conflict, I did not enter a trade.

Want more options?? – Find out about FOREX News trading!

There is a series of e-books in the Kindle Book store on Amazon which deal with FOREX trading the economic news reports;

Currently these titles are available:

Trade New Zealand Retail Sales Report – M over M – News Report”  NEW
Trade US Core Durable Goods Orders – News Report
Trade Australian Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade the British Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade Canadian IVEY Purchasing Mangers Index – M over M – News Report

Click here FOREX Trade the News… What are the Odds?

Tomorrow, Tuesday 01-17-12 at 4:30 AM ET, the GBP Consumer Price Index YoY report will be released.

Also 3 other report:

GBP Consumer Price Index YoY
GBP Retail Price Index YoY
GBP DCLG HPI y/y        

I did post a “follow up” of last months report, click here to see what happened.

The CPI and RPI are released by the U.K.s National Statistics on a monthly basis.

GBP DCLG HPI y/y    
Released monthly by Communities and Local Government


Here is what is going on tomorrow:

GBP Consumer Price Index YoY  stats:

previous = 4.8%

forecast = 4.2%

Looks like the economists think that the Canada’s economy will decrease..

Watch that the “Core CPI” goes in the same way – minor conflict if it does not.

Here is how I am set up for tomorrow:

GBP 4-30AM-ET-01-17-12
Looking for a 0.2% difference
Actual > Forecast = Good for GBP
GBP Consumer Price Index YoY
——actual——–forecast——–previous
_______________4.2%_______4.8%
Out at 4.4 % or higher – BUY GBP/USD
Out at 4.0 % or lower – SELL GBP/USD

There was not a good difference between the “actual” and the “forecast” last month, and there was conflict, I did not enter a trade.

I did post a “follow up” soon after this news report was over, click here to see what happened.

The next scheduled release of these reports is on Tuesday, 02-14-12 at 4:30 AM ET!

I will probably post a “preview” a day or two prior.

Stay tuned!

P.S. If you are interested in how I set up for a news trade – click on the “Training” link above for some videos.


P.P.S. If you are interested in the books I studied and recommend – click on the “FOREX Books” link above.

Follow Up- USD – Core Retail Sales MoM and Retail Sales MoM

This USD Retail sales report and the Core Retail Sales report was released this week.
The “actual“ was far enough outside the forecast for a good trade – and no conflict

Did not enter a trade this time!

Want more options?? – Find out about FOREX News trading!

There is a series of e-books in the Kindle Book store on Amazon which deal with FOREX trading the economic news reports;

Currently these titles are available:

Trade New Zealand Retail Sales Report – M over M – News Report”  NEW
Trade US Core Durable Goods Orders – News Report
Trade Australian Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade the British Gross Domestic Product – Q over Q – News Report
Trade Canadian IVEY Purchasing Mangers Index – M over M – News Report

Click here FOREX Trade the News… What are the Odds?

On  Thursday, 01-12-12 at 8:30 AM ET, the USD – Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales MoM reports was released.

These two reports are released monthly by the Census Bureau.

Also, 3 other reports:

USD Unemployment Claims
Released weekly by the Department Of Labor

CAD NHPI m/m
Released monthly by Canada Statistics

EUR ECB Press Conference

I did a “preview” post of this months news release, click here for a review.

The USD – Core Retail Sales MoM report is more attuned to what is currently happening in the economy – therefore it is the report that may have the greatest impact on the currency market.

Did not enter a trade this time! Good trigger – no conflict

Here is what happened this month:

USD – Core Retail Sales MoM  stats

Previous = 0.2%————–revised = 0.3%

Forecast = 0.3%

Actual = -0.2%

USD – Retail Sales MoM  stats

Previous = 0.2% ————–revised = 0.4%

Forecast = 0.3%

Actual = 0.1%


Here is how I was set up and what happened:

USD-8-30AM-ET-01-12-12
Looking for a 0.5 difference
Actual > Forecast = Good for USD
USD Core Retail Sales m/m
——actual——–forecast——–previous
_______________0.3%______   0.2%
_____-0.2%_____0.3%_______ 0.3%
out at 0.8% or better – SELL EUR/USD
out at -0.2% or less – BUY EUR/USD

Bad – “actual” came out lower than “forecast” by 0.5%
Bad – “actual” came out lower than “previous” by 0.4%
Bad – “actual” came out lower than revised “previous” by 0.5%

Actual > Forecast = Good for USD
USD Retail Sales m/m
_______________0.3%________ 0.2%
_____0.1%______ 0.3%________ 0.4%

Bad – “actual” came out lower than “forecast” by 0.2%
Bad – “actual” came out lower than “previous” by 0.1%
Bad – “actual” came out lower than revised “previous” by 0.3%

Here are the charts:

(AUD/USD)

a one minute AUD/USD currency chart

a one minute AUD/USD chart

This currency pair AUD/USD moved down for 3 minutes about 27 PIPS – wrong direction
Ranged

(EUR/USD)

a one minute EUR/USD currency chart

a one minute EUR/USD chart

This currency pair EUR/USD moved down for 2 minutes about 21 PIPS – wrong direction
Ranged for 8 minutes
Moved up for 32 minutes about 68 PIPS – right direction

(GBP/USD)

a one minute GBP/USD currency chart

a one minute GBP/USD chart

This currency pair GBP/USD moved down/up 1st minute about 14 PIPS/ 6 PIPS  -
Moved down next minute about 4 PIPS – wrong direction
Ranged for 8 minutes
Moved up next 32 minutes about 39 PIPS – right direction

(NZD/USD)

a one minute NZD/USD currency chart

a one minute NZD/USD chart

This currency pair NZD/USD moved down for 22 minutes about 28 PIPS – wrong direction

(USD/CAD)

a one minute USD/CAD currency chart

a one minute USD/CAD chart

This currency pair USD/CAD moved up for 23 minutes about 23 PIPS – wrong direction
Moved down for 18 minutes about 31 PIPS – right direction

(USD/CHF)

a one minute USD/CHF currency chart

a one minute USD/CHF chart

This currency pair USD/CHF moved up for 8 minutes about 16 PIPS – wrong direction
Moved down for 34 minutes about 49 PIPS – right direction

(USD/JPY)

a one minute USD/JPY currency chart

a one minute USD/JPY chart

This currency pair USD/JPY spiked up/down/up 1st  minute about 2 PIPS/ 7 PIPS/ 3 PIPS -
Moved up for 5 minutes about 5 PIPS – wrong direction
Moved down for 9 minutes about 6 PIPS – right direction

The next time this will be released will be on Tuesday, 02-14-12 at 8:30 AM ET.

I will post a “preview” a day or 2 prior.

Stay tuned!

P.S. If you are interested in how I set up for a news trade – click on the “Training” link above for some videos.


P.P.S. If you are interested in the books I studied and recommend – click on the “FOREX Books” link above.