Follow Up – CAD Employment Change and Unemployment Rate reports


On Friday, 08-06-10 at 7:00 AM ET Canada released their monthly CAD Net Employment Change and Unemployment Rate. These reports are released by “Statistics Canada”. -

I did a post “preview” on Thursday, 08-05-10, you can click here to see that post.

I entered 1 trade with the currency pair GBP/CAD – a winner!!
Both reports moved against the CAD!!

Here is how the set up turned out:

CAD Employment Change stats:

Previous = 93.2K

Forecast = 10.3K————revised=13.7K

Actual = -9.3K

CAD Unemployment Rate stats:

Previous = 7.9%

Forecast = 7.9%

Actual = 8.0%

Here is how I was set up and what happened:

CAD-7-00AM-ET-08-06-10
Looking for a 20K difference
Actual > Forecast = Good for CAD
CAD Employment Change
——actual——–forecast———previous
______________10.3K_______93.2K
_____-9.3K____ 13.7K
out at -10.3K or less – BUY GBP/CAD
out at 30.3K or higher – SELL GBP/CAD
Bad – “actual” came out lower then “forecast” by 19.6K
Bad – “actual” came out lower then revised “forecast” by 23K
Bad – “actual” came out lower then “previous” by 102.5K

Actual < Forecast = Good for CAD
CAD Unemployment Rate
______8.0%__________ 7.9%________ 7.9%
Bad – “actual” came out higher then “forecast” by 0.1%
Bad – “actual” came out higher then “previous” by 0.1%

Here are the charts!!

(CAD/JPY)

a one minute CAD/JPY currency chart

a one minute CAD/JPY chart

This CAD/JPY currency pair spiked down/up 1st minute about 45 PIPS/ 11 PIPS
Ranged for 59 minutes.

(EUR/CAD)

a one minute EUR/CAD currency chart

a one minute EUR/CAD chart

This EUR/CAD currency pair spiked up/down 1st 2 minutes about 61 PIPS/ 11 PIPS
Ranged for 58 minutes.

(GBP/CAD)

a one minute GBP/CAD currency chart

a one minute GBP/CAD chart

This GBP/CAD currency pair spiked up/down 1st 2 minutes about 80 PIPS/ 14 PIPS
Ranged for 58 minutes.
Small winning trade here!

(USD/CAD)

a one minute USD/CAD currency chart

a one minute USD/CAD chart

This USD/CAD currency pair spiked up/down 1st 2 minutes about 48 PIPS/ 8 PIPS
Ranged for 58 minutes.

The next scheduled release of these reports will be on Friday 09-10-10 at 7:00 AM ET.

I will probably post a “preview” a day or two prior.

Remember, “Past performances are not an indication of future results!”

Stay tuned!

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