Tomorrow, Wednesday 07-14-10 at 4:30 AM ET, the GBP Claimant Count Change and ILO Unemployment Rate will be released.
These two reports will be released with one other economic news report -
GBP Average Earnings index (3MoY)
I did a “follow up” post of last months report, click here to see what happened.
All 3 of these reports are released by the U.K.s National Statistics on a monthly basis.
Here is the set up for this month:
GBP Claimant Count Change stats:
previous = -30.9K
forecast = -20.1K
GBP ILO Unemployment Rate stats:
previous = 7.9%
forecast = 7.9%
These two reports “forecast” may be complimentary since the Unemployment Rate may not increase.
Here is how I am set up for a possible trade.
GBP-4-30AM-ET-07-14-10
Looking for a 20K difference
Actual < Forecast = Good for GBP
GBP Claimant Count Change
—-actual——–forecast———-previous
_____________-20.2K_______-30.9K
out at -00.2K or higher – SELL – GBP/USD
out at -40.2K or lower – BUY – GBP/USD
GBP Unemployment Rate
Actual < Forecast = Good for GBP
——actual———-forecast———-previous
________________7.9%________7.9%
GBP Average Earnings Index 3m/y
3.1% 4.2%
I did post a “follow up” of this report soon after, click here to see what happened.
The next scheduled release of these reports is on Wednesday, 08-11-10 at 4:30 AM ET.
I will probably post a “preview” a day or two prior.
Stay tuned!
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