The Fundamental FOREX Blog

On Friday, 05-21-10 at 8:30 AM ET, two Canadian reports will be released

CAD Retails Sales MoM
CAD Core Retail Sales MoM

These reports are stand-alone this time!

I posted a “follow up” post of last months reports on Friday, 03-26-10, click here for a review.

Canada’s “Statistics Canada”  release these monthly reports.

It appears that the “Retail Sales” report has a little more impact for traders than the “Core Retail Sales“.

Here is the set up tomorrow for the CAD “Retail Sales” reports:

CAD – Retail Sales MoM stats
Previous = 0.5%

Forecast = 0.2%

CAD – Core Retail Sales MoM stats
Previous = -0.1%

Forecast = 0.5%

If both reports come out in the same direction and are greater than the “forecast”, either positive or negative by say 1.5% or more, the market should have a good move over time.

Here is how I am set up for tomorrow:

CAD-8-30AM-ET-05-21-10
Looking for a 1.5% difference
Actual > Forecast = Good for CAD
CAD Retail Sales m/m
——actual———-forecast——previous
________________0.2%______0.5%
out at -1.3% or lower – SELL CAD/JPY
out at 1.7% or higher – BUY CAD/JPY
CAD Core Retail Sales m/m
_______________0.5%________-0.1%

It appears that both reports are forecast in conflict. Watch that both come out the same way.

I did post a “follow up” soon after, click here to see what happened.

The next release for these 2 reports is scheduled for Wednesday, 06-23-10 at 8:30AM ET.

Some times the reports scheduling can be changed.

Anyway, I will probably be writing a “preview” post for next months reports.

Stay tuned!