Follow Up – NZD Retail Sales m/m and NZD Core Retail Sales m/m reports


On Tuesday, 04-13-10 at 4:45 PM ET, the New Zealand Statistics released the monthly NZD Retail Sales m/m and NZD Core Retail Sales m/m reports

I wrote a “preview” post of this report, click here to see a review.

A trade was executed for this report, had 2 wins with the currency pair NZD/USD!

Here is what happened this month:

NZD Retail Sales m/m – Stats

Previous = 0.8%

Forecast = 0.2%

Actual = -0.6%

NZD Core Retail Sales m/m – Stats

Previous = 0.3%

Forecast = 0.3%

Actual = -0.9%

Here is how I was set up and what happened:

NZD 4-45PM-04-13-10
Looking for a 1.0 Difference
Actual > Forecast = Good for NZD
NZD Retail Sales m/m   high spread
——actual———-forecast———-previous
_____-0.6%_______0.2%________0.8%
out at 1.2% or higher – BUY – NZD/USD
out at -0.8% or lower – SELL – NZD/USD

Bad – “actual” came out lower then “forecast” by 0.8%
Bad – “actual” came out lower then “previous” by 1.4%

NZD Core Retail Sales m
______-0.9%_______0.3% ______0.3%
Bad – “actual” came out lower then “forecast” by 1.2%
Bad – “actual” came out lower then “previous” by 1.2%

Here are the charts:

(AUD/NZD)

a one minute AUD/NZD currency chart

a one minute AUD/NZD chart

This currency pair AUD/NZD moved up for 7 minutes about 91 PIPS – right direction
Ranged down!

(EUR/NZD)

a one minute EUR/NZD currency chart

a one minute EUR/NZD chart

This currency pair EUR/NZD moved up for 15 minutes about 140 PIPS – right direction
Ranged down!

(NZD/CAD)

a one minute NZD/CAD currency chart

a one minute NZD/CAD chart

This currency pair NZD/CAD moved down for 7 minutes about 53 PIPS – right direction
Ranged up!

(NZD/JPY)

a one minute NZD/JPY currency chart

a one minute NZD/JPY chart

This currency pair NZD/JPY moved down for 7 minutes about 52 PIPS – right direction
Moved up for 27 minutes about 20 PIPS – wrong direction

(NZD/USD)

a one minute NZD/USD currency chart

a one minute NZD/USD chart

This currency pair NZD/USD moved down for 7 minutes about 51 PIPS – right direction 2 wins here
Ranged for 9 minutes

Looks like the currency pair EUR/NZD had the best move.

The next scheduled release of these two reports on Thursday, 05-13-10 at 6:45 PM ET.

I will probably post a “preview“ a day or two prior.

Stay tuned!

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  1. [...] after the reports were released I did post a “follow up” report of the results, click here to see what [...]

  2. [...] after last months reports were released I did post a “follow up” report of the results, click here to see what [...]

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