Preview – AUD Retail Sales m/m report and Building Approvals report


Tomorrow, Tuesday, 03-30-10, at 7:30 8:30 PM ET the AUD Retail Sales m/m and AUD Building Approvals MoM and YoY reports will be released.

Along with the AUD Private Sector Credit m/m report, released by The Reserve Bank of Australia.

I did a “follow up” of my last post of the AUD Retail Sales report on Monday, 03-08-10, click here to check it out.

Last time this report was released, the currency pair AUD/NZD did not move as I had expected – suffered 3 losing trades – so I am switching to the currency pair AUD/JPY and I will be a little more guarded.

The AUD Retail Sales m/m and Building Approvals reports are released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
Lets take a look at what is happening today:

AUD Building Approvals m/m Stats:

Previous = -0.7%

Forecast = 0.3%

AUD Retail Sales m/m Stats:

Previous = 1.2%

Forecast = 0.3%

I have noticed that the FOREX traders seem to be paying some additional attention to real estate related news reports.

So I will be paying attention to how that comes out – hopefully both reports are going in the same direction – forecasts show them to be in conflict, could be tricky.

Here is how I am set up for today:
AUD-6-30PM-03-30-10
Looking for a 1.0% difference
Actual > Forecast = Good for AUD
AUD Building Approvals m/m
——actual———-forecast———-previous
________________2.2%________-7.0%
Out at 3.2% or higher – BUY AUD/JPY
Out at 1.2% or lower – SELL AUD/JPY

AUD Retail Sales m/m
________________0.3% ________1.2%
Watch that both go same way!!

I will be looking for a 1.0% difference between the “actual” and the “forecast”, probably set up to trade the AUD/JPY again – but I will be a little more timid this time.

I did write a “follow up” post soon after this release, click here to see what happened.

The next scheduled release of this report is on Tuesday, 05-04-10 at 9:30 PM ET.

I will probably post a “preview” a day or two prior.

Past performances are not an indication of future results

So—Stay tuned!

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