Preview GBP – RICS House Price Balance report


Tomorrow, Monday 03-08-10 at 5:01 PM ET, the GBP RICS House Price Balance report will be released.

This report will be released with one other economic news report -

GBP BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y

This is my first posting of these reports.

The RICS House Price Balance report is released by the U.K.s RICS, Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors on a monthly basis.

GBP BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y is released by the British Retail Consortium.

Here is the set up for last month and the results:

GBP RICS House Price Balance Stats:

Previous = 30%

Forecast = 28%

Actual = 32%

Here is how I was set up last month and the results:

GBP 7-01PM ET-02-08-10-risky
Looking for a 2.0% difference
Actual > Forecast = Good for GBP
GBP RICS House Price Balance
——actual———-forecast———-previous
________________29%__________30%
_____32%_______ 28%__________ 30%
Out at 31% or higher – BUY GBP/JPY
Out at 27% or lower – SELL GBP/JPY

Good – “actual” came out higher then “forecast” by 4%
Good – “actual” came out higher then “previous” by 2%

I did execute a trade of the GBP/JPY currency pair – a winner!

Here are the charts:

(EUR/GBP)

a one minute EUR/GBP currency chart

a one minute EUR/GBP chart

This EUR/GBP currency pair moved down for 6 minutes about 10 PIPS
Ranged!

(GBP/CAD)

a one minute GBP/CAD currency chart

a one minute GBP/CAD chart

This GBP/CAD currency pair moved up for 6 minutes about 23 PIPS – right direction
Ranged!

(GBP/JPY)

a one minute GBP/JPY currency chart

a one minute GBP/JPY chart

This GBP/JPY currency pair moved up for 20 minutes about 48 PIPS – right direction
Entered a small winning trade here!

(GBP/USD)

a one minute GBP/USD currency chart

a one minute GBP/USD chart

This GBP/USD currency pair moved up for 20 minutes about 35 PIPS – right direction

Here is the set up for this month:

GBP – RICS House Price Balance stats:

previous = 32%

forecast = 36%

Here is how I am set up for a possible trade.

GBP 7-01PM ET-03-08-10
Looking for a 2.0% difference
Actual > Forecast = Good for GBP
GBP RICS House Price Balance
——actual———-forecast———-previous
________________36%__________32%
Out at 38% or higher – BUY GBP/JPY
Out at 34% or lower – SELL GBP/JPY

I did post a “follow up” of this report soon after, click here to see what happened.

The next scheduled release of these reports is on Monday, 04-12-10 at 6:01 PM ET.

I will probably post a “preview” a day or two prior.

Stay tuned!

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