Preview – EUR German ZEW Survey Economic Sentiment report

Tomorrow, Tuesday 09-15-09 at 5:00 AM ET, four EUR reports will be released, these are:

EUR – German ZEW Survey  Economic Sentiment
EUR – German ZEW Survey  Current Situation
EUR – EURO-Zone ZEW Survey Economic Sentiment
EUR Euro-Zone Labor Costs (YoY) (2Q)

These reports are released by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW)

The last time this released was on Tuesday 08-18-09 at 5:00 AM ET along with two other EUR reports, EURO-Zone Industrial Production, MoM and YoY.

I did a “preview” and a “follow up” last month.

“Preview” click here for a review:

“Follow up” click here for a review:

The EUR – German ZEW Survey Economic Sentiment appears to have the greatest impact on the market.

Here is an idea what transpired last month:

EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment Stats:

previous = 39.5

forecast = 45.2

actual = 56.1

up 10.9 from the “forecast” and up 16.6 from the “previous”.
good for the EUR.

I monitor six currency pairs for these reports, EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, EUR/USD, GBP/JPY.

Four of the currency pairs were affected by the difference between the “forecast” and the “actual” reports, I showed two of the charts in the “follow up” since they had good moves, one of which I entered a trade.

Click here to view the “follow up”.

Here is the set up for 09-15-09:

EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment Stats:

previous = 56.1

forecast = 59.8

It appears that the economists believe  the EUR economy will improve, if the report comes out higher than the “forecast” by say 10.0, the EUR/USD may move up a nice amount, however, if it comes out lower than the “forecast” by say 10.0, that currency pair may move down a nice amount, it had a good move last time.

I will post a “follow up” soon after this report is completed.

Stay tuned!

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